The climate of Warsaw
Dfb Warm-summer humid continental. Warm summers and cold, snowy winters, with rain all year. A forest climate with four distinct seasons and a cold, snowy winter, but warm summers.
Warsaw is north of the equator, so summer falls in June to August and winter in December to February. The 1901 to 1930 map puts Warsaw in the same zone, Dfb.
Warsaw: then, now and by 2100
| Map | Climate zone | Compared with now |
|---|---|---|
| 1901 to 1930 | Dfb Warm-summer humid continental | Same as now |
| 1991 to 2020 (now) | Dfb Warm-summer humid continental | - |
| 2071 to 2099, SSP1-2.6 (low emissions) | Dfb Warm-summer humid continental | Same as now |
| 2071 to 2099, SSP2-4.5 (middle of the road) | Cfa Humid subtropical | Different from now |
| 2071 to 2099, SSP5-8.5 (high emissions) | Cfa Humid subtropical | Different from now |
The 2071 to 2099 rows are model projections under three emissions scenarios, not forecasts. The 1901 to 1930 row is a reconstruction. All come from Beck et al. (2023).
Under the middle-of-the-road scenario (SSP2-4.5), the model puts Warsaw in Cfa (humid subtropical) in 2071 to 2099, instead of Dfb now. Under the high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5) it is Cfa (humid subtropical).
Cities with the same climate as Warsaw
Other big cities that are Dfb (warm-summer humid continental) in 1991 to 2020, at most two per country:
Where Warsaw's future climate exists today
In the SSP2-4.5 map for 2071 to 2099, Warsaw is Cfa. These cities are Cfa in 1991 to 2020, so they give a rough idea of the future climate (the real conditions would differ in many ways).
- Shanghai, China
- Chongqing, China
- São Paulo, Brazil
- Tokyo, Japan
- New York City, United States
- Taipei, Taiwan
- Sydney, Australia
- New Taipei City, Taiwan
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Population of Warsaw from GeoNames: 1,702,139 (rank 273 in our list of 1,000). Climate data: Beck et al. (2023), CC BY 4.0. Data sources and licences.